Is there currently a mancession? How about a shecovery? How can this be a good thing?

workmen 2There has been a lot of talk since the recession started as to whether the economic downturn has hit men harder than women thus creating womana “mancession”.  Even Wikipedia states that unemployment for men has been 10% while unemployment for women was only 8%.  There are even articles about a “shecovery” which occurs when areas of the economy that are dominated by women recover and male dominated areas don’t.

The recession hit areas harder that employed men in greater numbers than women.  Construction and manufacturing were all hurt badly in the recession and more men than women were employed in these areas.  Men were therefore impacted more greatly in the economic downturn.

As one online article in Nation magazine points out women make up already half of the workforce in America today which is up from 30% in the 1940s.  Women also have more jobs than men in areas like retail sales and healthcare and they have half of the middle management jobs according to the article.  I would also add to this list areas like education and the media where women outnumber men.  And these areas tend to either be growing or not shrinking as fast as male dominated areas of the economy.

We already know that women outnumber men in colleges these days by almost 60% to 40%.  They have also caught up in graduate schools as now women are graduating in numbers for the most part equal to men in medical and law schools.  These schools are pushing these grads out into the job market every year.  So women are also getting the degrees which will help them land the good paying jobs in the future.

Many of these articles are written by women and they describe this situation as women “winning” some kind of job struggle.  Some even say that women are just more suited to the modern economy.  A new book is even entitled “The end of Men”.  Does anyone see a problem with this besides me?  Men being cast off as outmoded, outdated, no longer useful to society.  Is anyone concerned with where they will go and what they will do?  It is indeed disturbing.

We have always been concerned in the past about some group that is disadvantaged, falling, behind, or left out.  We have always seen the danger and unfairness in this and we have always in the past made some attempt to address it for the good of everyone.  Now with half of society being looked upon as at least falling behind (and at worst defunct) we do nothing.

Do we believe that men somehow deserve a mancession?  Is is payback for some past crimes?  I say what about the future?  There is a whole new generation of men that must find their way.  I have seen the men in my office that have lost their jobs years ago and still can’t find something even close to what they used to do if they can find something at all.  They then must face foreclosure, eviction and all the serious financial problems of having little or no income.

As a bankruptcy attorney I want to say to the men that if they are still unemployed or underemployed and they have debts they cannot pay then they should look at bankruptcy as an option to get out of the debt.  They can then begin to rebuild their lives with out the debt burden often incurred prior to this recession when things were better.

But we are all in this thing together and if men are falling behind and if their is indeed less and less need for them in the future it is a problem for everyone.  The Nation article asks if women are “really victors” in the new economy.   I am reminded here of a line from the movie “The War of the Roses” where Danny DeVito’s character tells Michael Douglas’ character that “there is no winning only degrees of losing”.  We are all in the same boat in society and when men lose we all lose.

I am a San Diego bankruptcy attorney.  For further questions please visit my website at www.farquharlaw.com.  Or call my office for a free consultation or for any other advice about bankruptcy or debt at (619) 702-5015. Call now for free credit report and analysis!

For a free e-book on “13 things to do to prepare for your bankruptcy filing” please e-mail me at farquharesq@yahoo.com.

Men photo courtesy of Roger Blackwell.  “I won” photo courtesy of Search Engine People Blog.

Advertisements

Are people leaving the labor force? Is unemployment really rising? The labor force participation rate says yes!

There have been many articles and warnings lately that people are leaving the labor force.  These articles claim there are fewer people working or looking for work each year and that the labor force of employed or employable individuals is shrinking.  This is occurring while the population is still rising.  There is therefore apparently not a lessening of the population but a lessening of people in it that are eager to work.

That begs the question of why this is happening.  Is the population just aging?  Are people retiring earlier or are kids staying at home longer?  Or is it that more and more people just giving up and forgetting about working or looking for work?

And if these people are just leaving the workforce out of disillusionment with the current state of the economy then how are they surviving?  Is government (you and me) paying for them?  Are they living off friends and relatives?  Are they living off the land?  What are these people doing and why and will it continue?

According to a recent online article posted on ZeroHedge the labor force has declined in the month of April by 522,000 people.  That means that there are currently 88,419,000 people who are not in the labor force but who are of an age where you would expect that they would be (over the age of 16).  This represents a new low.

I found a definition of the “labor force participation rate” in the Winston-Salem Journal.  It is a term used by the Department of Labor and it simply means the number of people over the age of 16 working or actively looking for work.  According to this article the labor force participation rate for April 2012 is 70% for men which is the lowest since the government started keeping statistics on this in 1948.  For all Americans it has reached the lowest level since 1981.

Some say that high paid jobs are being replaced by low wage manufacturing and construction jobs.  This could account for the lowest level ever of men working.  Many of my clients have looked for higher wage jobs for years and can’t find anything.  Many of these people have given up trying to find a job out of disillusionment.  They simply won’t take a very low paid job at their age and skill level.

As far as 16 year olds are concerned most don’t currently work even if many of us adults think they should.  Indeed the current “failure to launch syndrome” tells us that 70% of children under the age of 30 still live with their parents.  Women make up more than 60% of college grads and they are entering the workforce in numbers which may contribute to lack of job availability for men.  The overall labor force participation rate peaked in 2000 when women really began “flooding” the workforce according to this article.

But still  it seems in general that more people are continuing to leave the workforce.  Some groups have a higher rate but every group seems to have fewer people working as the numbers for the whole labor force participation is at its lowest rate since 1981.

The problem is that the government only counts unemployed people if they are in the labor force. If they have exited for any reason then they are not counted.  So when you are told that the unemployment rate is declining then remember these figures.  Ask yourself if unemployment really is declining because it seems to me that it is still rising.  It also seems like there is an ongoing mass exodus currently from the labor force.  A mass exodus that is not showing up in unemployment statistics.

You might come to the same conclusion that we are being lied to.  That unemployment is rising, more people are out of work and these people appear to be so disillusioned that they have given up on work altogether.  All the while we are being told that the economy is improving and unemployment is falling.  I say don’t believe it.

I am bankruptcy attorney in San Diego.  Please visit my websites at www.farquharlaw.com or www.freshstartsandiego.com for more info. about any of these topics.  Or call my office for a free consultation at (619) 702-5015.  Call now for free credit report and analysis! 

 For a free e-book: “13 THINGS YOU SHOULD DO TO PREPARE FOR YOUR BANKRUPTCY FILING” please send a request by e-mail to: farquharesq@yahoo.com.

San Diego unemployment rises in March as does American food stamp usage. What does it all mean?

Here in my city of San Diego unemployment has increased in March much to everyone’s surprise. This was detailed in an article in the San Diego Union Tribune.  This fact certainly calls into question whether there is a recovery occurring at all in San Diego.  According to the article San Diego would need to add 20,000 to 25,000 jobs per year but only 6,700 are currently being added.  This is far short of what is needed for a full recovery according to some economists.

This article also explains that California unemployment is on the rise.  California unemployment rose to 11% in March.  18,000 jobs were created in California in March and that may sound like a lot but 2 million people still are unemployed in the state.  They also mention in the article that nationwide there seems to ba a decrease in unemployment.  I would argue thought that this nationwide rise in employment looks good but must be balanced against other factors. (See here for my blog on unemployment is rising when the governement says it is not).

For instance the Wall Street Journal reports that 34 million people are on food stamps currently and that is an all time high.  This represents an increase of 70% since 2007 and 1 person in 7 is now on food stamps.  A 70% increase is significant and calls into question the state of the economy as a whole.  Are these people receiving food stamps unemployed or are they people with jobs? Are the employed (or underemployed) getting on food stamps because they can’t afford to buy food with their salaries?

Another article in Investor’s Business Daily tells of an increase in the number of people on disability.  Are suddenly getting more disabled in this country or is something else happening?

I believe something else is happening.  First of all more people are out of the work force than ever according to recent articles.  As they come back into the work force this could increase unemployment.  But also you have this massive over-spending by government and “quantitative easing” or straight money printing.  As I argued in a blog (http://bit.ly/I9XMnU) about governments like the Weimar Republic who choose to print money,  massive money printing can only lead to massive devaluation of the currency.  This devaluation in turn leads to a huge increase in the prices of foodstuffs.

We are seeing prices go up dramatically in the past two years especially in the area of food and energy.  I also blogged about this phenomenon some time ago  ( http://bit.ly/IahMZf).  These increases in food have even caused farmland to increase in prices.  There was a story today on Fox Business how farmland is currently selling for very high prices when it just recently used to be very cheap.  It only makes sense that this is happening because food is a commodity that is increasing in price so it will become more profitable to produce in the future.  It is also true that food and energy are increasing but government inflation figures do not reflect this because they conveniently exclude food and energy from inflation measures.

So it appears that prices are up and currency values are down and unemployment is sideways.  It is also true that government figures usually don’t reflect real world conditions.  This is why I belive that people are getting on food stamps and disability.  Even if they are employed full-time they cannot afford the ever higher prices for everything today.  Even two income couples are struggling especially if there are kids.

The underemployed and unemployed are even in a worse condition than the employed.  But employed people on food stamps in these large numbers is a new phenomenon in America.  It used to be that you got off food stamps as soon as you got a job.  I suspect that is not the case today.  People are staying on food stamps no matter what because they simply can’t afford the ordinary costs of life.  The food stamp statistics reflect this reality.

My clients who I see in my office every single day also reflect these changes in society.  They come to see the bankruptcy attorney  to get out of their old debt which they certainly can’t afford.  They can barely afford their current expenses as commodity prices increase but their wages do not.  For my clients bankruptcy can eliminate the old debt and make it easier to go forward.

We do not know if there is a recovery but there are other economic factors out there affecting everyday people.  With prices on the rise and the government not admitting it I expect to see many more bankruptcies in the future out of necessity.  It is not a matter anymore that is even subject to debate.  Many of my clients do not anymore debate whether it is worth it to file bankruptcy.  It is literally a case of having enough food on the table.  Food that will undoubtably cost more next month.

I am a San Diego bankruptcy attorney.  Please visit my websites at www.farquharlaw.com or www.freshstartsandiego.com.  Or call my office for a free consultation at (619) 702-5015.  Call now for a free credit report and analysis!

For a free e-book: “13 THINGS YOU SHOULD DO TO PREPARE FOR YOUR BANKRUPTCY FILING” please send a request by e-mail to: farquharesq@yahoo.com.

Can I file bankruptcy a second time? Yes, and with stubbornly high inflation, unemployment rates, and the housing crisis you might well need to!

economy 2If you want to file for bankruptcy a second time you just have to wait the required eight years since the last time you filed.  Don’t Guess Againworry it goes by quickly!  Many people find that they get into the same situation as they were in before after eight years have gone by.  The country’s unemployment situation does not appear to have improved, the price of everything is going up as inflation worsens, and the nation’s housing crisis continues. (See here for additional reasons for why you should file for bankruptcy).

I read an article yesterday that gas prices have increased by over 80% in the last three years.  Many food prices have increased by 20% in the same period but the government uses an inflation measure that excludes food and energy prices so their statistics do not reflect real inflation.  This seems ridiculous because food and gas are the items that people buy the most.

With our astronomical 15 trillion deficit many of us believe that massive inflation is coming for America which will render our currency increasingly worthless.   I heard a story the other day about inflation in the Wiemar Republic in Germany in the 1920s.  There the cash was so worthless in 1920s Germany that crooks stole only the wheelbarrows that people carried the cash in and dumped the cash in the street.

Unemployment is also staying high and is also under counted by the government. We are told that unemployment is declining but we also find out that increasing numbers of people are leaving the job market altogether and are thus not being counted in government statistics.  We apparently have the lower number of adults working in America that we have ever had before in our history. (See here for my blog on the unemployment is rising because people are leaving the labor force).

As we have known all along many people are giving up on finding a job and are either living off the government or are living on money earned under the table and off the radar.  These people usually are surviving on such little money that they should be counted as at least underemployed if not as unemployed.  This many unemployed people not being counted makes the unemployment situation look far better than it really is.  I hate to say it but it appears that the government has an agenda to advance in these statistics on inflation and unemployment and these government supplied numbers should therefore be questioned or ignored.

The housing crisis also seems to have no bottom.  Houses are still being foreclosed in in great numbers and thus housing prices are not rising in some areas and still falling in others.  Many are facing an iminent foreclosre of their home due to this crisis in real estate and the realtors I talk to say they don’t see any end in sight for this.  With the glut of foreclosed homes on the market the prices of homes will not increase again for some time.  Many who are unemployed cannot afford to pay their mortgages now.

unemployment 4Many people believe that with our massive debt at the federal, state, and local levels we are headed for financial collapse.  I don’t know if a massive collapse is coming but it’s clear that massive inflation and continued high unemployment are a distinct possibility.  Collapse has happened before in history with the Wiemar Republic and with other societies that failed to get their debts in order.  If we are headed for these increasingly difficult economic times then it would certainly be easier to enter them without a tremendous debt load.  Bankruptcy can accomplish that.

If massive inflation comes will help pay down the government’s debt but it will devastate individuals and families financially as it dramatically increases the prices we pay for everything.  If unemployment remains high too then many people will continue to have medical, credit card, auto repossesssion, and other personal debts they  pay.  Many will continue to borrow on their credit cards as they have in the past out of necessity and not irresponsibility.

If any of this sounds familiar then you might want to consider filing bankruptcy.  Don’t be like the government and put you head in the sand.  Deal with your debt in a responsible, legal, and ethical way which is what you get with a bankruptcy discharge.  You can also significantly slow down or stop your home being sold at foreclosure with a bankruptcy.

All of this debt, unemployment, and foreclosure will lead many individuals and couples right back into a situation where they cannot pay their debts.  Once they stop paying these creditors the phone will start ringing again 24 hour a day from collection agents who ceaselessly try to collect these debts.  The result of this will be more people will need second time bankruptcies.  So don’t despair if you have accumulated debt in the last number of years because you can file bankrupty again.

If you filed in 2005 like millions did to avoid the bankruptcy law changes then you will be able to file next year in 2013.  You only have to wait eight years.  If you filed in October of 2005 like many did the you should look to file again around October of 2013.  Remember that millions of individuals are in the same position as you are so don’t despair.  Just call a good bankruptcy lawyer now and he will help you survive financially until the eight years has elapsed.

There are many strategies for managing these debts in the mean time including paying them something to get them off your back.  A good lawyer will help you manage you finances until the date arrives that you can file for bankruptcy again.  For an update on filing bankruptcy a second time see here.

I am a San Diego bankruptcy attorney.  For further information please visit my website at www.freshstartsandiego.com or www.farquharlaw.com.  Or call my office for a free consultation at (619) 702-5015.  Call now for a free credit report and analysis!

For a free e-book: “13 THINGS YOU SHOULD DO TO PREPARE FOR YOUR BANKRUPTCY FILING” please send a request by e-mail to: farquharesq@yahoo.com.

The economy is so bad photo courtesy of Mark Holloway.  Guess again photo courtesy of Damian Gadal.  Unemployment photo courtesy of Sean MacEntee.